AMGEN AND GENENTECH BEAT CRITICS’ CAPRICE
Thursday, July 12th, 2007Why, will be the main headline of the Prohost E-Letter and then N-Letter that will be posted at the end of this week and the end of next week consecutively. Why do W.S. analysts not notice the biotech achievers until after they achieve? What are analysts doing? When we see that Genentech’s (DNA) 41% rise in profits fill the media, the Internet and all the running tapes, we wonder why this stock dove from around $100 to its current mid $70s price? Why the sell-off of an excellent performing company? Caprice is the answer.
Some analysts and their followers were determined to box the #1 and #2 biotech firms, and succeeded in their plan. Good for them, but bad for those who bet on winning horses and lost, despite the fact that the horses have, indeed, won many races, including the one they were told they lost. Instead of believing the photo finish, they preferred to believe those who tried to convince them that the photos are fake, the horses cannot run and they must sell their winning tickets at lower prices.
We will elaborate on the firms that W.S analysts have missed or overlooked, and those we believe are repeating the same history. Yes, some very low priced stocks nobody is paying attention to will soon fly. We know it by looking at their market caps and their promises.
DENOSUMAB
Targeting Rank Ligand
AMGEN (AMGN)
In the news, Amgen and Daiichi Sankyo Company, Limited signed a collaboration and license agreement for the development and commercialization of denosumab in Japan. Denosumab is a monoclonal antibody that targets RANK Ligand (an essential mediator of cells that break down bone).
The target is an excellent choice. Denosumab, Amgen’s antibody is in clinical trials for the prevention and treatment of a broad range of bone loss conditions including osteoporosis, bone metastases, treatment-induced bone loss, multiple myeloma and bone erosions in rheumatoid arthritis. The drug is in the first late-stage investigational therapy that specifically inhibits RANK Ligand, an essential mediator of the cells that break down bone. To know more about RNAK Ligand go to:
www.pubmedcentral.nih.gov/articlerender.fcgi?artid=152945#B5
Amgen has granted Daiichi Sankyo exclusive rights to develop and commercialize denosumab in Japan in post-menopausal osteoporosis and oncology with the potential for additional indications. Amgen will receive exclusive worldwide rights to certain Daiichi Sankyo intellectual property to the extent applicable to denosumab. The financial terms include:
- An upfront payment to Amgen of $20 million.
- Daiichi Sankyo will assume all development costs for denosumab in Japan.
- Daiichi Sankyo will pay $150 million of expected worldwide development costs for denosumab through 2009.
- Daiichi Sankyo is eligible to receive milestone payments dependent on the approval of denosumab in the European Union or Japan, in two indications.
- Daiichi Sankyo will pay royalties on annual net sales of denosumab in Japan in amounts commensurate with a major late stage product for the Japan market.
Daiichi Sankyo believes that denosumab has the potential to be a first-in-class, leading product in Japan for multiple indications. Denosumab’s potential applicability in oncology makes it an important part of the foundation for the firm’s growing oncology business.
Daiichi Sankyo has a full range of commercial capabilities, including in the primary care and hospital settings, a track record of successful large, first-in-class product launches and the financial strength to ensure appropriate investment in the product.
The drug is a potential blockbuster, as the target is unique and at the cellular origin of bone loss. Amgen remains Amgen, no matter what the critics say against this firm. Let them continue to box the stock, so good news would take it to a much higher price than any one would expect.
