News and Comments

Like Dendreon (DNDN) Human Genome might have Bottomed

  Monday, January 09, 2012

As expected, Human Genome Sciences (HGSI) will report on progress with the commercialization of Benlysta® (belimumab) during a presentation at the 30th Annual JPMorgan Healthcare Conference in San Francisco. The drug is approved for the treatment of adult patients with active autoantibody-positive systemic lupus erythematosus (SLE) who are receiving standard therapy. More...

Dendreon: Going to the bottom of mysterious story

  Tuesday, January 03, 2012

We keep reading daily tails about Dendreon (DNDN), Human Genome (HGSI) and other firms granted FDA approvals for therapeutics, which had disappointing sales. Bullish and bearish analysts are filling the media with articles explaining the reasons for the sluggish sales of Dendreon’s drug Provenge and Human Genome’s drug Benlysta after investors have already lost their money. Predicting the drugs’ poor sales before they hit the market was no dilemma, as the barriers to successful launch were palpable. Both bullish and bearish analysts preferred not to reveal ongoing obstacles to satisfactory market penetration; the bullish were enjoying the rally and had no interest in halting it, and the short-selling analysts and their followers welcomed bubbling of stocks, so they would hit the jackpot if and when the bubbles burst. Investors’ disappointment wouldn’t have been as deep, resulting in a huge selloff of the stocks if they had done their due diligence towards developing realistic expectations. Instead, they interpreted analysts’ silence as a sign that the revenues being generated from the drugs’ sales would certainly meet the analysts’ and the firms’ projections. They didn’t. Why? That’s what investors needed to know. More...


  Wednesday, December 21, 2011

EXELIXIS’ (EXEL) advanced PI3K-delta research and development preclinical program attracted Merck, known as MSD outside of the United States and Canada. “PI3K-delta is therapeutic target that academic researchers and the drug industry are racing to develop therapeutic antagonists for both inflammatory diseases and cancer. To get to Exelixis program, Merck agreed to pay $12 million in upfront payment in addition to potential milestone payments for multiple indications of up to $239 million and royalties on net-sales of products that would emerge from the agreement. Merck will also pay Exelixis royalties on any compounds that would emerge from Exelixis’ PI3K-delta program or from certain compounds that arise from Merck’s internal discovery efforts targeting PI3K-delta during a certain period. More...

ONYX (ONXX): Deal or No Deal Time For Payoff

  Tuesday, November 29, 2011

When Onyx (ONXX) announced its intention to acquire the privately held company Proteolix in 2009, investors rushed to sell the stock. Investors are brainwashed into selling any biotech firm that would spend money, regardless of the reason for spending, including acquiring firms with promising breakthrough drugs in final phase trials. As a matter of fact, Onyx’ acquisition of Proteolix added to its products’ portfolio a new generation proteasome inhibitor, Carfilzomib, a drug designed for resistant multiple myeloma. Takeda’s breakthrough drug Velcade (bortezomib) and Celgene’s drug Revlimid (lenolidamide) considered top treatments for multiple myeloma could not prevent the cancer from offsetting their efficacy on a large percentage of patients. In contrast, clinical trials demonstrated that Carfilzomib has broken the cancer’s capability to recur and resist in a substantial percentage of late-stage cancer patients. The new drug is definitely more effective proteasome inhibitor than the current treatments, in addition to having a better safety profile, especially with regard to the intractable pain and numbness that patients experience with Velcade. More...

Incyte: Where do we go from here?

  Friday, November 18, 2011

The Food and Drug Administration has granted marketing approval ahead of time for Incyte’s drug Jakafi™ (ruxolitinib). The approval is for intermediate or high-risk myelofibrosis (MF), including primary MF, post-polycythemia vera MF and post-essential thrombocythemia MF - indications that represent 80 to 90 percent of MF patients.  The drug, Jakafi is an oral JAK1 and JAK2 inhibitor. It is the first in a new class of drugs, known as JAK inhibitors and the first and only product to be approved by the FDA for MF. The drug is also in Phase III trials for polycythemia vera, in Phase II for essential thrombocythemia, pancreatic cancer and solid hematologic tumors. More...

Regeneron & Amgen: More Breakthrough Drugs In The Horizon

  Wednesday, November 16, 2011

In controlling high cholesterol levels statins have reigned for a very long time, generating over $30 billion/year with products like Lipitor and crestor generating almost ten million/year each. Statins act by blocking HMG-CoA reductase, an enzyme required for the production of LDL, (the bad cholesterol) in the liver. Statins side effects could be severe. They can cause muscle damage. Some physicians believe they are overprescribed, as 30 million Americans currently take the cholesterol pills. More...


  Thursday, October 27, 2011

Has the time come now for this firm to bear the fruit of its long-term efforts? Much has happened for Onyx (ONXX) in one month – all good news and all promising news for a company that is already a member in the club of companies that have important approved drugs, which enabled them to grow and become more achieving. The first good news came when Onyx announced filing NDA with the FDA for the approval of its new generation proteasome inhibitor carfilzomib, for relapsed or relapsed/refractory multiple myeloma and solid tumors. This news was followed by Onyx announcing it has entered into a new agreement with its partner Bayer, upon, which Onyx obtained rights for Bayer’s late-stage cancer compound regorafenib. Yes, a new agreement that gives Onyx royalties on a very important and successful Bayer’s cancer drug sales, in addition to contracting Onyx sales force to promote regorafenib, along with Bayer sales representatives, in the United States.   More...

Seattle Genetics: Bearish vs. Bullish opinions

  Monday, October 10, 2011

As much as it is vexing when analysts downgrade stocks without bothering explaining the reasons for their decisions, it is refreshing when analysts or investors explain the reasons that led them to bet against some firms. Our eyes have finally fallen on a couple of articles citing the reasoning that motivates short analysts to bet against stocks many other investors believe they offer excellent investment opportunities. These authors offer an opportunity for positive investors to dispute their views, while stressing their own.     More...

Dendreon’s Debate

  Thursday, September 15, 2011

For temporary negative circumstances that do not weigh against an FDA declining approval of a new drug, Dendreon’s (DNDN) stock plummeted as much as it would have if the FDA had denied it a drug approval. It was an irrational sell-off, kind of investors’ anger or vengeance against Dendreon, or someone in it. Since then, a debate started over Dendreon’s whereabouts, including its therapeutic vaccine Provenge’s efficacy and life-extending possibilities. The debate never stopped. Its temperature continued to rise, causing serious investors’ malaise and a subsequent stock malaise. The endless debate has affianced many people, including science writers, biotechnology analysts, critics, daily traders, biotech fans and both positive and negative investors. Getting confused rather than informed, a number of Prohost followers asked us to engage in the debate, or at least give an opinion over what this or that angry fellow might be suggesting. More...

Monster Blockbuster Anti-Cholesterol Drugs In Biotechs’ Pipelines

  Wednesday, August 31, 2011

The new biological science is evolving at the speed of light. As a matter of fact, the bright penetrating light of the genomic revolution is effectively reaching the dark corners where the utmost reality remained hidden since millions of years. The new light enabled the insight to match the sight in divulging the buried secrets of body at the molecular level. With the most advanced tools ever created by human minds, scientists have reached a stage where they can spend much less effort in solving much more puzzles on the road towards solving the problems of diseases at their root-origin. The successful are those researchers who keep their eyes open and their minds prepared. More...

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